Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.368822 0.484336 0.610631 0.756900 0.919783 1.093984 1.292846
2025-05-11 0.227819 0.383089 0.571974 0.808486 1.088364 1.402239 1.774760
2025-05-18 0.144544 0.307909 0.525789 0.814857 1.171070 1.582397 2.081685
2025-05-25 0.072469 0.221612 0.446778 0.766206 1.177010 1.665287 2.270720
2025-06-01 0.028322 0.153269 0.374924 0.712899 1.166037 1.719078 2.417726
2025-06-08 0.008751 0.112301 0.332511 0.691055 1.188600 1.808539 2.602798
2025-06-15 0.002133 0.092578 0.319367 0.707088 1.258020 1.953929 2.853635
2025-06-22 NaN 0.069018 0.292565 0.698781 1.292124 2.053196 3.046990
2025-06-29 NaN 0.047266 0.261383 0.679206 1.307846 2.127073 3.207604
2025-07-06 NaN 0.042514 0.266362 0.716832 1.402778 2.302282 3.493326
2025-07-13 NaN 0.040038 0.276129 0.762103 1.508453 2.491460 3.796603
2025-07-20 NaN 0.036697 0.282565 0.801392 1.605483 2.669441 4.086076
2025-07-27 NaN 0.038560 0.305672 0.872925 1.754086 2.921364 4.476665
2025-08-03 NaN 0.035107 0.312910 0.917726 1.865525 3.126598 4.811374
2025-08-10 NaN 0.026523 0.300943 0.927440 1.925118 3.263071 5.059107
2025-08-17 NaN 0.012096 0.256486 0.874548 1.890581 3.273916 5.147648
2025-08-24 NaN 0.003216 0.213426 0.817529 1.845927 3.268562 5.213454
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000472 0.189677 0.793987 1.849334 3.325668 5.356895
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000056 0.186110 0.811243 1.915396 3.467513 5.608859
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.171098 0.802307 1.939664 3.551903 5.786635
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.151860 0.781246 1.943407 3.607337 5.926465
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.159251 0.821713 2.045892 3.799158 6.243217
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.170048 0.870310 2.161614 4.009450 6.584142